TY - JOUR
T1 - Unit root tests and heavy-tailed innovations
AU - Georgiev, Iliyan
AU - Rodrigues, Paulo M M
AU - Robert Taylor, A. M.
N1 - Funding: Danish Council for Independent Research, Sapere Aude \ DFF Advanced Grant (grant nr. 12-124980 )
PY - 2017/9
Y1 - 2017/9
N2 - We evaluate the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on some popular unit root tests. In the context of a near-integrated series driven by linear process shocks, we demonstrate that their limiting distributions are altered under infinite variance vis-à-vis finite variance. Reassuringly, however, simulation results suggest that the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on these tests is relatively small. We use the framework of Amsler and Schmidt () whereby the innovations have local-to-finite variances being generated as a linear combination of draws from a thin-tailed distribution (in the domain of attraction of the Gaussian distribution) and a heavy-tailed distribution (in the normal domain of attraction of a stable law). We also explore the properties of augmented Dickey-Fuller tests that employ Eicker-White standard errors, demonstrating that these can yield significant power improvements over conventional tests.
AB - We evaluate the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on some popular unit root tests. In the context of a near-integrated series driven by linear process shocks, we demonstrate that their limiting distributions are altered under infinite variance vis-à-vis finite variance. Reassuringly, however, simulation results suggest that the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on these tests is relatively small. We use the framework of Amsler and Schmidt () whereby the innovations have local-to-finite variances being generated as a linear combination of draws from a thin-tailed distribution (in the domain of attraction of the Gaussian distribution) and a heavy-tailed distribution (in the normal domain of attraction of a stable law). We also explore the properties of augmented Dickey-Fuller tests that employ Eicker-White standard errors, demonstrating that these can yield significant power improvements over conventional tests.
KW - Asymptotic local power functions
KW - Eicker-White standard errors
KW - Infinite variance
KW - α-stable distribution
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85016579362&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1111/jtsa.12233
DO - 10.1111/jtsa.12233
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85016579362
SN - 0143-9782
VL - 38
SP - 733
EP - 768
JO - Journal Of Time Series Analysis
JF - Journal Of Time Series Analysis
IS - 5
ER -