The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context

Paulo Jorge Santos; Svetlana Roudolfovna Chemetova; Armando José Pires; Mário Ventim Neves

doi:10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616

The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context

Paulo Jorge Santos, Svetlana Roudolfovna Chemetova, Armando José Pires, Mário Ventim Neves

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The load forecasting at the main distribution electrical network is a very important tool in the Smart Grids management systems, particularly in spot price environment. Predict the entire load diagram for the next day, is an important auxiliary tool, in order to guarantee the safety of the whole electro producer system and, consequently, to guarantee a better and more efficient grid management. In the actual scenario of market deregulation, the tendency is to maintain closer the production and the consumption. In this scenario, the load forecast with a horizon of 24 hours represents a vital tool for the management of the electric energy systems. The aim of this paper is to establish a different and simple approach of input variables in order to predict the load profile for the next day's load diagram. The present composition gives to the model a good accuracy in several types of distribution substations. The developed methodology was applied in a real case.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Pages	50-54
Number of pages	5
ISBN (Electronic)	9781728142180
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616
Publication status	Published - Jul 2020
Event	14th IEEE International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020 - Virtual, Online, Portugal Duration: 8 Jul 2020 → 10 Jul 2020

Conference

Conference	14th IEEE International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020
Country/Territory	Portugal
City	Virtual, Online
Period	8/07/20 → 10/07/20

Keywords

input vector
load forecasting
peak forecasting
regressive methods

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616

Cite this

Santos, P. J., Chemetova, S. R., Pires, A. J., & Neves, M. V. (2020). The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context. In Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020 (pp. 50-54). Article 9161616 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616

Santos, Paulo Jorge ; Chemetova, Svetlana Roudolfovna ; Pires, Armando José et al. / The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context. Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2020. pp. 50-54

@inproceedings{4e0f1213af844b698c5c94e38417bbbf,

title = "The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context",

abstract = "The load forecasting at the main distribution electrical network is a very important tool in the Smart Grids management systems, particularly in spot price environment. Predict the entire load diagram for the next day, is an important auxiliary tool, in order to guarantee the safety of the whole electro producer system and, consequently, to guarantee a better and more efficient grid management. In the actual scenario of market deregulation, the tendency is to maintain closer the production and the consumption. In this scenario, the load forecast with a horizon of 24 hours represents a vital tool for the management of the electric energy systems. The aim of this paper is to establish a different and simple approach of input variables in order to predict the load profile for the next day's load diagram. The present composition gives to the model a good accuracy in several types of distribution substations. The developed methodology was applied in a real case. ",

keywords = "input vector, load forecasting, peak forecasting, regressive methods",

author = "Santos, {Paulo Jorge} and Chemetova, {Svetlana Roudolfovna} and Pires, {Armando Jos{\'e}} and Neves, {M{\'a}rio Ventim}",

note = "info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/157391/PT# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/154612/PT# ; 14th IEEE International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020 ; Conference date: 08-07-2020 Through 10-07-2020",

year = "2020",

month = jul,

doi = "10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616",

language = "English",

pages = "50--54",

booktitle = "Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020",

publisher = "Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)",

address = "United States",

}

Santos, PJ, Chemetova, SR , Pires, AJ & Neves, MV 2020, The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context. in Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020., 9161616, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), pp. 50-54, 14th IEEE International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020, Virtual, Online, Portugal, 8/07/20. https://doi.org/10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616

The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context. / Santos, Paulo Jorge; Chemetova, Svetlana Roudolfovna ; Pires, Armando José et al.
Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2020. p. 50-54 9161616.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

TY - GEN

T1 - The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context

AU - Santos, Paulo Jorge

AU - Chemetova, Svetlana Roudolfovna

AU - Pires, Armando José

AU - Neves, Mário Ventim

N1 - info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/157391/PT# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/154612/PT#

PY - 2020/7

Y1 - 2020/7

N2 - The load forecasting at the main distribution electrical network is a very important tool in the Smart Grids management systems, particularly in spot price environment. Predict the entire load diagram for the next day, is an important auxiliary tool, in order to guarantee the safety of the whole electro producer system and, consequently, to guarantee a better and more efficient grid management. In the actual scenario of market deregulation, the tendency is to maintain closer the production and the consumption. In this scenario, the load forecast with a horizon of 24 hours represents a vital tool for the management of the electric energy systems. The aim of this paper is to establish a different and simple approach of input variables in order to predict the load profile for the next day's load diagram. The present composition gives to the model a good accuracy in several types of distribution substations. The developed methodology was applied in a real case.

AB - The load forecasting at the main distribution electrical network is a very important tool in the Smart Grids management systems, particularly in spot price environment. Predict the entire load diagram for the next day, is an important auxiliary tool, in order to guarantee the safety of the whole electro producer system and, consequently, to guarantee a better and more efficient grid management. In the actual scenario of market deregulation, the tendency is to maintain closer the production and the consumption. In this scenario, the load forecast with a horizon of 24 hours represents a vital tool for the management of the electric energy systems. The aim of this paper is to establish a different and simple approach of input variables in order to predict the load profile for the next day's load diagram. The present composition gives to the model a good accuracy in several types of distribution substations. The developed methodology was applied in a real case.

KW - input vector

KW - load forecasting

KW - peak forecasting

KW - regressive methods

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85090846754&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616

DO - 10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616

M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:85090846754

SP - 50

EP - 54

BT - Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020

PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

T2 - 14th IEEE International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020

Y2 - 8 July 2020 through 10 July 2020

ER -

Santos PJ, Chemetova SR , Pires AJ , Neves MV. The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context. In Proceedings - 2020 IEEE 14th International Conference on Compatibility, Power Electronics and Power Engineering, CPE-POWERENG 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). 2020. p. 50-54. 9161616 doi: 10.1109/CPE-POWERENG48600.2020.9161616

The importance of daily load forecasting for main electric substation in a spot market context

Abstract

Conference

Keywords

UN SDGs

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this