The impact of demographic trends on security forces policy

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review


The Constitution of the Portuguese Republic determines that “all citizens have the right of freedom and security”. The compliance of this right implies that the presence of the security forces and services (SFS) must be effective, visible, and holder of a measurable impact in whole territory. To do so, four objectives should
be followed (Lourenço et al., 2015): the dimensioning of the Internal Security System (ISS), at medium and long-term, as a reference of the National Security, by increasing the role of the SFS; the presentation of the priorities in the ISS in order to improve its efficiency; the proposal of measures that bring together synergies
to the cooperative performance of the several agents of the ISS, namely in the activity of public security, intelligence, criminal investigation, and protection and relief; and; the intensification of the capacities of the SFS.
The SIM4SECURITY project (Forecast and Spatial Analysis Model for Public Security, Ref. FCT: PTDC/
ATPDEM/1538/2014) fits in the first and second above-mentioned objectives. The goal of the project is the construction of a decision support model which aims the optimization of the distribution of the SFS in Portugal. This model includes a Geographic Information System which takes into consideration demographic
scenarios and its spatial location, and it will allow the improvement of the efficiency of the operational activity of the SFS, by reorganizing and strengthening its presence in the territory.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternational Conference Risks, Security and Citizenship
Subtitle of host publicationproceedings
PublisherMunicípio de Setúbal
ISBN (Print)978-972-9016-53-0
Publication statusPublished - 2017


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