The effect of hydro and wind generation on the mean and volatility of electricity prices in Spain

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10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Many electricity markets are experiencing profound changes due to the large-scale deployment of renewable energy. This paper analyzes the effect of wind and hydro power on wholesale electricity prices. We focus on the Spanish market due to the high penetration of wind and hydro, and also the availability of data on water stored in Spanish dams. We estimate the impact of wind generation and hydro availability on the electricity price level and volatility through an ARX-GARCHX model. The results show that these two different renewables have different impacts on electricity prices: intermittent wind generation increases the price volatility, while dispatchable hydro reduces it. The results are consistent with hydropower plants behaving strategically and, given their zero marginal cost, dampening the otherwise higher price increases due to wind intermittency. Therefore, hydropower complements other intermittent renewables, not only operationally, but also economically.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2017 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
ISBN (Electronic)9781509054992
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 14 Jul 2017
Event14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017 - Dresden, Germany
Duration: 6 Jun 20179 Jun 2017

Conference

Conference14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017
Country/TerritoryGermany
CityDresden
Period6/06/179/06/17

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