TY - JOUR
T1 - Social vs. individual age-dependent costs of imperfect vaccination
AU - Chalub, Fabio A. C. C.
AU - Doutor, Paulo
AU - Patrício, Paula
AU - Soares, Maria do Céu
N1 - info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso de avaliação no âmbito do Programa Plurianual de Financiamento de Unidades de I&D (2017%2F2018) - Financiamento Base/UIDB%2F00297%2F2020/PT#
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso de avaliação no âmbito do Programa Plurianual de Financiamento de Unidades de I&D (2017%2F2018) - Financiamento Programático/UIDP%2F00297%2F2020/PT#
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso de Projetos de I&D em Todos os Domínios Científicos - 2022/2022.03091.PTDC/PT#
Funding Information:
We acknowledge the insightful comments by Max Souza, Universidade Fluminense, Brazil and NOVA Math, Portugal and the three referees that helped to improve our manuscript. All the authors contributed equally to the development of the work’s ideas, computational codes, data analysis, discussions, and writing of the final version of the manuscript.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Author(s)
PY - 2024/9
Y1 - 2024/9
N2 - In diseases with long-term immunity, vaccination is known to increase the average age at infection as a result of the decrease in the pathogen circulation. This implies that a vaccination campaign can have negative effects when a disease is more costly (financial or health-related costs) for higher ages. This work considers an age-structured population transmission model with imperfect vaccination. We aim to compare the social and individual costs of vaccination, assuming that disease costs are age-dependent, while the disease's dynamic is age-independent. A model for pathogen deterministic dynamics in a population consisting of juveniles and adults, assumed to be rational agents, is introduced. The parameter region for which vaccination has a positive social impact is fully characterized and the Nash equilibrium of the vaccination game is obtained. Finally, collective strategies designed to promote voluntary vaccination, without compromising social welfare, are discussed.
AB - In diseases with long-term immunity, vaccination is known to increase the average age at infection as a result of the decrease in the pathogen circulation. This implies that a vaccination campaign can have negative effects when a disease is more costly (financial or health-related costs) for higher ages. This work considers an age-structured population transmission model with imperfect vaccination. We aim to compare the social and individual costs of vaccination, assuming that disease costs are age-dependent, while the disease's dynamic is age-independent. A model for pathogen deterministic dynamics in a population consisting of juveniles and adults, assumed to be rational agents, is introduced. The parameter region for which vaccination has a positive social impact is fully characterized and the Nash equilibrium of the vaccination game is obtained. Finally, collective strategies designed to promote voluntary vaccination, without compromising social welfare, are discussed.
KW - Age-structured models
KW - Epidemic models
KW - Nash equilibria
KW - Vaccination games
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85199495565&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.mbs.2024.109259
DO - 10.1016/j.mbs.2024.109259
M3 - Article
C2 - 39019322
AN - SCOPUS:85199495565
SN - 0025-5564
VL - 375
JO - Mathematical Biosciences
JF - Mathematical Biosciences
M1 - 109259
ER -