Portugal’s adjustment programme: The run-up to the sovereign debt crisis, programme design, implementation and legacy

Francisco Torres, Miguel Lebre de Freitas

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Abstract

This chapter reviews the design and implementation of Portugal’s adjustment program. It also analyzes the program’s main achievements, failures and social costs. The program emphasized fiscal consolidation, structural reforms in the labor and product markets, and deleveraging of the banking sector, with fiscal adjustment being frontloaded. It can be qualified as a success in terms of addressing Portugal’s main macroeconomic imbalances and financial risks within EMU. However, expenditure repression dominated expenditure reduction. Progress on structural reforms was also mixed. The recessionary impact of the program was aggravated by the European recession and by limited access to external finance which, together with revenue shortages and legal setbacks, forced the government to go for alternative and lower-quality fiscal measures that in turn contributed to eroding public support for the program and to slowing down the pace of reform. The chapter furthermore discusses how the loss of political ownership and reform fatigue came about in the implementation phase (2011–2014) and how, after exiting the program in 2014, the remaining reform impetus was lost. Finally, it assesses the post-program period (2014–2018), characterized by a low reform effort while Portugal abided (by and large) by its fiscal commitments. Yet, the strategy of avoiding political unrest by favoring current expenditures at the expense of growth-enhancing reforms carries a potentially high cost in terms of future growth and, consequently, for the opportunities of the poorest.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe political economy of adjustment throughout and beyond the Eurozone crisis
Subtitle of host publicationWhat have we learned?
EditorsMichele Chang, Federico Steinberg, Francisco Torres
Place of PublicationLondon
PublisherRoutledge
Chapter6
Pages122-156
Number of pages35
ISBN (Electronic)9780429426940
ISBN (Print)9781138386150
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2019

Publication series

NameRoutledge/UACES Contemporary European Studies
PublisherRoutledge

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