Modelling carbon capture for Continental Portugal based on land cover changes

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Sustainable Development Goals number 13 and 15 settled by the United Nations in 2015 intends to tackle climate change and protect life on land by setting specific targets which are needed to be achieved over the next 12 years. Consequently, ecosystem services research, such as carbon sequestration and its climate regulatory function, have been highlighted. The land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF) play a main role in the spatial modelling of carbon sequestration. In this study we used GIS and statistical tools to model carbon sequestration in mainland Portugal between years 2007 and 2010 based on land cover changes. A business as usual approach was adopted to extrapolate previous changes to 2020 and quantify the impact of existing land use and land cover policies on carbon capture. Results show that there was a negative variation, or a loss of carbon capture, of -5,4% between 2010 and 2020 at
national level. For year 2020 the results at the district level followed the same pattern of the period from 2007 to 2010. The major negative variations between 2007 and 2010 were observed in Aveiro (-7,2%), Leiria (-5,6%) and Coimbra (-5,2%). Only Vila Real had slight increase in the carbon stored (0,8%). This approach may be useful for monitoring carbon storage over time and the provide
environmental managers with tools to mitigate climate change more effectively.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 25th APDR Congress
Subtitle of host publicationCircular Economy: Urban metabolism and regional development, changes for a sustainable futur
PublisherAssociacao Portuguesa para o Desenvolvimento Regional (APDR)
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)978-989-8780-06-5
Publication statusPublished - 2018
Event25th APDR Congress: Circular Economy. Urban Metabolism and Regional Development Challenges for a Sustainable Future - Facultade De Ciencias Sociais e Humanas - Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Duration: 5 Jul 20186 Jul 2019


Conference25th APDR Congress
Internet address


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