Modeling of land cover changes on alternative scenarios

Anton Afanasyev, Alexander Zamyatin, Pedro Cabral

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review


The modeling of changes in landscape cover is a task that helps to predict the development of the territory, which may be useful, for example, in planning infrastructure development (Singh et al. 2015). In practice it is also useful to consider other development scenarios of the study area. In this paper we consider the task of handling the simulation by alternative scenarios using cellular automata and Markov chains. Approach to the preparation of initial data for modeling by an alternative scenario is proposed, the conditions for the correctness of the modification are considered, and a modification algorithm is proposed that allows maintaining correctness when partial modification conditions are met. The approach is tested on the problem of land cover changes forecasting of Portugal territory in the framework of the project LANDYN.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2017 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2017
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Number of pages11
VolumePart F134102
ISBN (Electronic)9781538634288
Publication statusPublished - 4 Jan 2018
Event2017 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2017 - Las Vegas, United States
Duration: 3 Dec 20176 Dec 2017


Conference2017 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2017
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityLas Vegas


  • cellular automata
  • Markov processes
  • land cover


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