Misfortunes never come singly: consecutive weather shocks and mortality in Russia

Vladimir Otrachshenko, Olga Popova, Pavel Solomin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper examines the impacts of extremely hot and cold days on mortality in Russia, using a 25-year regional panel data. Unlike other studies, the sequence of those extreme days is also taken into account, that is, the impacts of both single and consecutive (i.e. heat waves and cold spells) extreme days are estimated simultaneously. We demonstrate the importance of accounting for the sequence of extreme days. We also disentangle the impacts of those extremes by age and gender. The findings suggest that single hot days increase mortality, while single cold days do not affect mortality. On the other hand, both consecutive hot and consecutive cold days increase mortality in females and males for all age groups, although males are affected more severely. Overall, consecutive days with extreme temperatures impose considerable costs to society in terms of years of life lost. Thus, ignoring the sequences of extreme days that are likely to increase in the future because of climate change may have critical implications for mitigation policies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)249-258
Number of pages10
JournalEconomics and Human Biology
Volume31
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2018

Keywords

  • Climate change
  • Cold spells
  • Extreme weather
  • Heat waves
  • Mortality
  • Russia

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