Introducing climate variability in energy systems modelling

Filipa Amorim, Sofia G. Simoes, Edi Assoumou, Gildas Siggini

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review


This paper presents the ongoing research within the C2P Portuguese case study. Its main goal (as a first step) is to show the relevance of using a highly detailed spatial and temporal modeling tool of the Portuguese electricity system, the TIMES C2P PT model, in order to be able to adequatly capture climate variability in the planning of the system. This is tested first by simulating the variability of the hydro resource, comparing two future - "humid" and "dry" - scenarios.

Peliminary results show that hydropower electricity generation variations are within the range of those refered in the literature by other authors. In this work, we are able to capture higher variations within season and time of day.

In the future, analysis will include the combined variability of hydro, PV and wind resources variability considering future seasonal climate forecasts and projections.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 4th international conference on energy & environment (ICEE 2019): bringing together engineering and economics
EditorsP. Ferreira, I. Soares
PublisherUniversidade do Minho
ISBN (Print)978-989-97050-9-8
Publication statusPublished - 2019

Publication series

NameICEE International Conference on Energy & Environment
ISSN (Print)2183-3982


  • Climate/Energy Modelling
  • Climate Change and Adaptation
  • Climate Services
  • Renewables


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