TY - UNPB
T1 - Getting Life Expectancy Estimates Right for Pension Policy
T2 - Period versus Cohort Approach
AU - Ayuso, Mercedes
AU - Bravo, Jorge
AU - Holzmann, Robert
N1 - Ayuso, M., Bravo, J., & Holzmann, R. (2018). Getting Life Expectancy Estimates Right for Pension Policy: Period versus Cohort Approach. (pp. 1-30). (CESifo Working Papers; No. 7349). Munich Society for the Promotion of Economic Research ‐ CESifo GmbH.
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - In many policy areas it is essential to use the best estimates of life expectancy, but it is vital to most areas of pension policy. This paper presents the conceptual differences between static period and dynamic cohort mortality tables, estimates the differences in life expectancy for Portugal and Spain, and compares official estimates of both life expectancy estimates for Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States for 1981, 2010, and 2060. These comparisons reveal major differences between period and cohort life expectancy in and between countries and across years. The implications of using wrong estimates for pension policy, including financial sustainability, are explored.
AB - In many policy areas it is essential to use the best estimates of life expectancy, but it is vital to most areas of pension policy. This paper presents the conceptual differences between static period and dynamic cohort mortality tables, estimates the differences in life expectancy for Portugal and Spain, and compares official estimates of both life expectancy estimates for Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States for 1981, 2010, and 2060. These comparisons reveal major differences between period and cohort life expectancy in and between countries and across years. The implications of using wrong estimates for pension policy, including financial sustainability, are explored.
KW - Cross-country comparison
KW - Lee-Carter
KW - Life expectancy indexation
KW - Balancing mechanism
M3 - Working paper
T3 - CESifo Working Papers
SP - 1
EP - 30
BT - Getting Life Expectancy Estimates Right for Pension Policy
PB - Munich Society for the Promotion of Economic Research ‐ CESifo GmbH
ER -
