TY - JOUR
T1 - Failing young and temporary workers?
T2 - The impact of a disruptive crisis on a dual labour market
AU - Nunes, Carolina
AU - Carvalho, Bruno
AU - Pereira dos Santos, João
AU - Peralta, Susana
AU - Tavares, José
PY - 2023/4/12
Y1 - 2023/4/12
N2 - We study the impact of the pandemic crisis using monthly data covering the universe of individuals registered as unemployed in mainland Portuguese municipalities, complemented with electronic payments, linked employer–employee data, and furlough records. Event study designs identify a sharp increase in unemployment, driven mostly by termination of temporary contracts, and a decrease in new job placements. With triple difference-in-differences, we show that the effects are stronger in more dual municipal labour markets, i.e. with a higher share of temporary jobs, concentrated in young workers and middle educated individuals. The asymmetries are exacerbated by the duality of the municipal labour market.
AB - We study the impact of the pandemic crisis using monthly data covering the universe of individuals registered as unemployed in mainland Portuguese municipalities, complemented with electronic payments, linked employer–employee data, and furlough records. Event study designs identify a sharp increase in unemployment, driven mostly by termination of temporary contracts, and a decrease in new job placements. With triple difference-in-differences, we show that the effects are stronger in more dual municipal labour markets, i.e. with a higher share of temporary jobs, concentrated in young workers and middle educated individuals. The asymmetries are exacerbated by the duality of the municipal labour market.
KW - Dual labour market
KW - Portugal
KW - Covid-19
KW - Unemployment
KW - Regional impacts
KW - Difference-in-differences
UR - https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85148746975&origin=inward
U2 - 10.1515/bejeap-2022-0316
DO - 10.1515/bejeap-2022-0316
M3 - Article
SN - 1935-1682
VL - 23
SP - 349
EP - 395
JO - The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy
JF - The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy
IS - 2
ER -