Failing young and temporary workers?: The impact of a disruptive crisis on a dual labour market

Carolina Nunes; Bruno Carvalho; João Pereira dos Santos; Susana Peralta; José Tavares

doi:https://doi.org/10.1515/bejeap-2022-0316

Failing young and temporary workers? The impact of a disruptive crisis on a dual labour market

Carolina Nunes, Bruno Carvalho, João Pereira dos Santos, Susana Peralta, José Tavares

NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

We study the impact of the pandemic crisis using monthly data covering the universe of individuals registered as unemployed in mainland Portuguese municipalities, complemented with electronic payments, linked employer–employee data, and furlough records. Event study designs identify a sharp increase in unemployment, driven mostly by termination of temporary contracts, and a decrease in new job placements. With triple difference-in-differences, we show that the effects are stronger in more dual municipal labour markets, i.e. with a higher share of temporary jobs, concentrated in young workers and middle educated individuals. The asymmetries are exacerbated by the duality of the municipal labour market.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	349-395
Journal	The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy
Volume	23
Issue number	2
Early online date	20 Feb 2023
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1515/bejeap-2022-0316
Publication status	Published - 12 Apr 2023

Keywords

Dual labour market
Portugal
Covid-19
Unemployment
Regional impacts
Difference-in-differences

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

https://doi.org/10.1515/bejeap-2022-0316

Cite this

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