Differential survival in Europe and the United States

Estimates based on subjective probabilities of survival

Adeline Delavande, Susann Rohwedder

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

23 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Cross-country comparisons of differential survival by socioeconomic status (SES) are useful in many domains. Yet, to date, such studies have been rare. Reliably estimating differential survival in a single country has been challenging because it requires rich panel data with a large sample size. Cross-country estimates have proven even more difficult because the measures of SES need to be comparable internationally. We present an alternative method for acquiring information on differential survival by SES. Rather than using observations of actual survival, we relate individuals' subjective probabilities of survival to SES variables in cross section. To show that subjective survival probabilities are informative proxies for actual survival when estimating differential survival, we compare estimates of differential survival based on actual survival with estimates based on subjective probabilities of survival for the same sample. The results are remarkably similar. We then use this approach to compare differential survival by SES for 10 European countries and the United States. Wealthier people have higher survival probabilities than those who are less wealthy, but the strength of the association differs across countries. Nations with a smaller gradient appear to be Belgium, France, and Italy, while the United States, England, and Sweden appear to have a larger gradient.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1377-1400
Number of pages24
JournalDemography
Volume48
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Nov 2011

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social status
Belgium
Sweden
Italy
France

Keywords

  • Cross-country comparison
  • Differential mortality
  • Differential survival
  • Subjective probabilities

Cite this

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abstract = "Cross-country comparisons of differential survival by socioeconomic status (SES) are useful in many domains. Yet, to date, such studies have been rare. Reliably estimating differential survival in a single country has been challenging because it requires rich panel data with a large sample size. Cross-country estimates have proven even more difficult because the measures of SES need to be comparable internationally. We present an alternative method for acquiring information on differential survival by SES. Rather than using observations of actual survival, we relate individuals' subjective probabilities of survival to SES variables in cross section. To show that subjective survival probabilities are informative proxies for actual survival when estimating differential survival, we compare estimates of differential survival based on actual survival with estimates based on subjective probabilities of survival for the same sample. The results are remarkably similar. We then use this approach to compare differential survival by SES for 10 European countries and the United States. Wealthier people have higher survival probabilities than those who are less wealthy, but the strength of the association differs across countries. Nations with a smaller gradient appear to be Belgium, France, and Italy, while the United States, England, and Sweden appear to have a larger gradient.",
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Differential survival in Europe and the United States : Estimates based on subjective probabilities of survival. / Delavande, Adeline; Rohwedder, Susann.

In: Demography, Vol. 48, No. 4, 01.11.2011, p. 1377-1400.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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T2 - Estimates based on subjective probabilities of survival

AU - Delavande, Adeline

AU - Rohwedder, Susann

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