China spillovers: new evidence from time-varying estimates

Davide Furceri, João Tovar Jalles, Aleksandra Zdzienicka

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

The recent “rebalancing” of China’s economy has raised concerns that the country’s growth slowdown may have large global implications. This note looks at this issue by analyzing the effects of China’s growth shocks on the output of other countries and how these effects have changed over time. Estimates indicate that the magnitude of China’s spillovers has steadily increased during the last two decades, but remains yet limited. Spillovers are larger in neighboring (Asian) countries and in emerging markets and developing economies. Trade linkages remain main transmission channels. In addition, a negative shock in China has (marginal) positive effects for net commodity importers while negative for net commodity exporters.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)413-429
Number of pages17
JournalOpen Economies Review
Volume28
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2017

Keywords

  • China
  • Spillovers
  • Time-varying estimates

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